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Sunday night’s Elite Eight showdown promises to deliver, and the top-seeded Auburn Tigers head in as clear favorites, laying between 4.5 and 5.5 points across most sportsbooks.
The Tigers have been battle-tested all season, playing the second-toughest schedule in the nation and still managing to post an impressive 31-5 straight-up record. Even more telling is the way they’ve won — 27 of those 31 victories have come by five points or more, with an average winning margin of 14.3 points. That’s the sign of a team that not only wins, but dominates.
On the flip side, Michigan State has been flirting with trouble from beyond the arc all year long. The Spartans rank a dismal 318th nationally in three-point shooting at just 31.1%. Auburn’s defense, however, is built to expose that flaw — they rank seventh in the country in three-point defense, holding opponents to a stingy 29.6% from deep.
Turnovers could also play a big role here. Auburn is one of the best in the country at protecting the basketball, ranking seventh in turnover rate at just 13.2%. If they continue to value possessions and clamp down defensively, especially around the perimeter, Auburn should be in full control. Take Auburn ATS
The Tigers have been battle-tested all season, playing the second-toughest schedule in the nation and still managing to post an impressive 31-5 straight-up record. Even more telling is the way they’ve won — 27 of those 31 victories have come by five points or more, with an average winning margin of 14.3 points. That’s the sign of a team that not only wins, but dominates.
On the flip side, Michigan State has been flirting with trouble from beyond the arc all year long. The Spartans rank a dismal 318th nationally in three-point shooting at just 31.1%. Auburn’s defense, however, is built to expose that flaw — they rank seventh in the country in three-point defense, holding opponents to a stingy 29.6% from deep.
Turnovers could also play a big role here. Auburn is one of the best in the country at protecting the basketball, ranking seventh in turnover rate at just 13.2%. If they continue to value possessions and clamp down defensively, especially around the perimeter, Auburn should be in full control. Take Auburn ATS
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 30th 2025 5:05 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Picks
Sunday, March 30th 2025 5:05 PM
Finished
NCAA Basketball Cappers Picks for Michigan State vs Auburn with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:
Jimmy Boyd 83 % Bryan Power 71 % Dan Kaiser 70 % Chad Hartsock 71 % Chad Hartsock 71 % LVSB Total 57 % LVSB BIG Favorites 71 % David Picks and parlays 65 % Robert Ferringo 67 % ASA wins 75 % Action Bet Covers 60 % Chris Ruffolo 57 % Ron Romanelli 57 % Jason La Canfora 58 % Big Mike Tompkins 71 %
Michigan State
Auburn SPREAD
Michigan State 5.5 (-115) AVG SPREAD W%: 48 ROI: -9
David Picks and parlays
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Marc Lawrence
W%: 46
ROI: -11
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Jesse Schule
W%: 50
ROI: -10
Andrew Jett
W%: 49
ROI: -8
Michael Briggs
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Frank Sawyer
W%: 43
ROI: -20
Josh Nagel
W%: 47
ROI: -11
SPREAD
Auburn -5.5 (-105) AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -5
Parlay's Pundit
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Aengus Moorehead
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Ben Burns
W%: 55
ROI: -1
Chris Ruffolo
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Ron Romanelli
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Sports Picks Forum
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Dan Kaiser
W%: 53
ROI: -4
Chad Hartsock
W%: 49
ROI: -6
AJ Hoffman
W%: 50
ROI: -6
Robert Ferringo
W%: 52
ROI: -1
Bruce Marshall
W%: 48
ROI: -6
Jimmy Boyd
W%: 51
ROI: -2
Calvin King
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Las Vegas Sports Betting
W%: 49
ROI: -6
Pickwise
W%: 50
ROI: -4
MONEY
Michigan State 205 AVG MONEY W%: 48 ROI: -9
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Josh Nagel
W%: 47
ROI: -11
MONEY
Auburn -245 AVG MONEY W%: 59 ROI: -4
Bryan Power
W%: 49
ROI: -8
LVSB BIG Favorites
W%: 69
ROI: -0
TOTAL
UNDER 147.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 50 ROI: -6
Jason La Canfora
W%: 47
ROI: -7
Parlay's Pundit
W%: 49
ROI: -7
Action Bet Covers
W%: 50
ROI: -4
Sean Higgs
W%: 45
ROI: -12
Kevin Erickson
W%: 48
ROI: -7
Oliver Zivic
W%: 56
ROI: 5
Chad Hartsock
W%: 49
ROI: -6
LVSB Total
W%: 47
ROI: -10
Stephen Nover
W%: 50
ROI: -5
Dwayne Bryant
W%: 49
ROI: -6
ASA wins
W%: 48
ROI: -11
Big Mike Tompkins
W%: 54
ROI: 4
Alex Smart
W%: 49
ROI: -9
Mike Tierney
W%: 51
ROI: -4
TOTAL
OVER 147.0 (-110)
Auburn
Michigan
Mississippi
New Mexico
Bryant
Wisconsin